Track record · closed signal

Frontline Ltd (FRO) — closed signal from May 2, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 31, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

FRO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$35.47 Published $37.38 Target $39.37 Window close $43.10 Peak
$32.60 – $34.43Entry zone — fair-value band
$35.47Published — price the day we called it
$37.38Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$43.10Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$39.37Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 41 days.

Peak price
$43.10
peak on June 24, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+21.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$39.37
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
41
Window
May 2, 2026 – July 31, 2026

The thesis — published May 2, 2026

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$37.38
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$32.60 – $34.43
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$35.47
published May 2, 2026
Confidence
66%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Frontline offers a short-term way to play higher tanker demand after Iran and Strait of Hormuz headlines pushed shipping rates up. Price trend looks positive, but trading activity is lighter than usual. High company leverage and inconsistent earnings make confidence limited. Near-term gains depend on continued geopolitical risk; if that eases, gains could vanish fast.

Primary drivers

  • Tanker rates can jump if geopolitical shipping risk rises
  • Gives direct exposure to oil transport businesses
  • Recent price trend supports short-term participation
  • High leverage and uneven earnings limit conviction

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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