Track record · closed signal

Valley National Bancorp (VLY) — closed signal from May 2, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 31, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

VLY price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$13.41 Published $14.64 Target $14.29 Window close $15.20 Peak
$12.81 – $13.40Entry zone — fair-value band
$13.41Published — price the day we called it
$14.64Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$15.20Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$14.29Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 54 days.

Peak price
$15.20
peak on July 16, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+13.4%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$14.29
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
54
Window
May 2, 2026 – July 31, 2026

The thesis — published May 2, 2026

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$14.64
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$12.81 – $13.40
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$13.41
published May 2, 2026
Confidence
73%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Valley National looks steadier after recent results showed higher interest income, more fee income, and growth in core deposits. Earnings are improving and insiders buying shares helps confidence versus peers. A short-term trend signal is still slightly negative, so the next few months are treated as a stabilization period linked to credit health and deposit costs; upside is modest.

Primary drivers

  • Higher interest income boosted earnings
  • Core deposit growth strengthens funding outlook
  • Insider buying reduces downside concern
  • Reasonable valuation allows room for recovery

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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