Track record · closed signal

Oracle Corporation (ORCL) — closed signal from May 2, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 31, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

ORCL price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$171.23 Published $201.36 Target $129.87 Window close $249.38 Peak
$163.86 – $170.81Entry zone — fair-value band
$171.23Published — price the day we called it
$201.36Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$249.38Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$129.87Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 26 days.

Peak price
$249.38
peak on June 1, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+45.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$129.87
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
26
Window
May 2, 2026 – July 31, 2026

The thesis — published May 2, 2026

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$201.36
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$163.86 – $170.81
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$171.23
published May 2, 2026
Confidence
76%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Oracle is set to benefit from more cloud usage, growing AI workloads, and expanding government cloud projects, highlighted by recent Pentagon classified-network deals. Price momentum is mixed and not fully confirmed, but many buyers are active. Existing debt keeps overall confidence cautious.

Primary drivers

  • AI workloads are increasing demand for cloud infrastructure
  • Pentagon classified-network deals boost government cloud prospects
  • Consistent earnings help meet near-term revenue expectations
  • Strong trading interest balances a mixed momentum picture

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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