Track record · closed signal

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) — closed signal from May 1, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 30, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

NVDA price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$199.55 Published $235.47 Target $195.04 Window close $236.54 Peak
$193.00 – $202.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$199.55Published — price the day we called it
$235.47Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$236.54Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$195.04Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 13 days.

Peak price
$236.54
peak on May 14, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+18.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$195.04
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
13
Window
May 1, 2026 – July 30, 2026

The thesis — published May 1, 2026

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$235.47
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$193.00 – $202.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$199.55
published May 1, 2026
Confidence
78%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

NVIDIA is a leading supplier of the computing gear that powers AI, and demand for AI chips and systems is still strong. The company has lots of cash to keep investing, and recent price action supports a near-term upside case. Volatility, insider selling, and sensitivity to AI spending headlines make the setup less certain.

Primary drivers

  • Strong demand for AI processors and related systems
  • Large cash reserves enable continued platform investment
  • Industry news supports continued demand for AI infrastructure
  • High share-price swings and sensitivity to AI spending raise dip risk

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All NVDA signals