Track record · closed signal

Valley National Bancorp (VLY) — closed signal from May 1, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 30, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

VLY price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$13.51 Published $14.89 Target $14.32 Window close $15.20 Peak
$12.90 – $13.49Entry zone — fair-value band
$13.51Published — price the day we called it
$14.89Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$15.20Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$14.32Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 67 days.

Peak price
$15.20
peak on July 16, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+12.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$14.32
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
67
Window
May 1, 2026 – July 30, 2026

The thesis — published May 1, 2026

Predicted growth
+11%
over the measurement window
Target price
$14.89
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$12.90 – $13.49
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$13.51
published May 1, 2026
Confidence
77%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Valley National looks like a fairly priced regional bank showing steady improvement: interest income, deposits, and earnings came in better recently, and insiders have been buying stock. The setup is constructive but not aggressive because trading volume is still low and regional bank lending or funding problems could undo gains within a few months.

Primary drivers

  • Interest income and deposits improved in recent results
  • Insider buying increases confidence in management
  • Valuation looks fair versus current growth and profits
  • Main risk is regional-bank lending and funding stress

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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