Track record · closed signal

Valley National Bancorp (VLY) — closed signal from April 30, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 29, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

VLY price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$13.27 Published $15.28 Target $14.28 Window close $15.20 Peak
$12.61 – $13.30Entry zone — fair-value band
$13.27Published — price the day we called it
$15.28Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$15.20Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$14.28Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price
$15.20
peak on July 16, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+14.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$14.28
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
April 30, 2026 – July 29, 2026

The thesis — published April 30, 2026

Predicted growth
+16%
over the measurement window
Target price
$15.28
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$12.61 – $13.30
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$13.27
published April 30, 2026
Confidence
79%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Valley National looks like a cleaner example of a regional bank. Recent quarterly results showed stronger interest income, growing core deposits, and earnings that beat expectations. The stock pulled back but kept its positive posture, and valuation suggests some upside. Insider buying helps the case. Near-term risks are commercial real estate, rising funding costs, and low trading volume.

Primary drivers

  • Earnings beat driven by higher interest income
  • Growing core deposits improve funding stability
  • Valuation is modest and could re-rate higher
  • Insider buying signals internal confidence in the stock

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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