Track record · closed signal

Levi Strauss & Co Class A (LEVI) — closed signal from April 29, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 28, 2026 — +16.9% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

LEVI price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$21.79 Published $24.68 Target $25.46 Window close $25.70 Peak
$20.73 – $22.21Entry zone — fair-value band
$21.79Published — price the day we called it
$24.68Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$25.70Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$25.46Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 63 days.

At window close
+16.9%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+18%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+4.4%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$25.46
last close inside the window, ended July 28, 2026
Peak price
$25.70
peak on July 28, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
63

The thesis — published April 29, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$24.68
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$20.73 – $22.21
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$21.79
published April 29, 2026
Confidence
65%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Levi looks cleaner than many clothing peers: sales and profits have been steady, the price looks fair, and direct sales to customers are improving the brand. A recent sharp share move and positive press raise visibility and crowding risk. Signs of being oversold help the setup, but light trading and cautious insiders limit conviction.

Primary drivers

  • Stronger direct-to-consumer sales help the brand reset
  • Consistent earnings beats indicate better execution
  • Fair valuation improves potential return versus risk
  • Recent oversold signs create a cleaner setup

How it played out

LEVI: target reached in 63 days

Lyra published LEVI at 21.79, expecting 14% growth toward 24.68. The thesis pointed to stronger direct-to-consumer sales, consistent earnings beats, a fair valuation, and oversold signs. It also noted that a sharp recent move and positive press raised crowding risk, while light trading and cautious insiders limited conviction.

Within the window, LEVI reached the 24.68 target in 63 days. It peaked at 25.70 on July 28, an 18% gain, and ended the window at 25.46. The published thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On July 8, 2026, Levi Strauss reported second-quarter net revenue growth of 8% and organic net revenue growth of 6%. The company also raised its full-year revenue and earnings outlook and increased its quarterly dividend.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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