Track record · closed signal

Frontline Ltd (FRO) — closed signal from April 29, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 28, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

FRO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$34.35 Published $36.21 Target $38.78 Window close $43.10 Peak
$31.68 – $33.52Entry zone — fair-value band
$34.35Published — price the day we called it
$36.21Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$43.10Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$38.78Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 9 days.

Peak price
$43.10
peak on June 24, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+25.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$38.78
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
9
Window
April 29, 2026 – July 28, 2026

The thesis — published April 29, 2026

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$36.21
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$31.68 – $33.52
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$34.35
published April 29, 2026
Confidence
62%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Frontline could profit if tanker shipping rates rise because of disruptions around Hormuz, and its valuation still appears below fair value. Recent growth readings look good and the price sits near a short-term support level. Major risks: uneven earnings, meaningful debt, and the price momentum hasn't yet backed up the geopolitical story.

Primary drivers

  • Higher tanker rates if Hormuz-related disruption cuts supply
  • Market value still looks below estimated fair value
  • Shipping business has solid fundamentals for the cycle
  • Price is near recent short-term support, limiting downside

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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