Track record · closed signal

Element Solutions Inc (ESI) — closed signal from April 29, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 28, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

ESI price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$42.54 Published $45.52 Target $36.50 Window close $49.25 Peak
$39.00 – $42.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$42.54Published — price the day we called it
$45.52Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$49.25Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$36.50Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 47 days.

Peak price
$49.25
peak on June 22, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+15.8%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$36.50
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
47
Window
April 29, 2026 – July 28, 2026

The thesis — published April 29, 2026

Predicted growth
+7%
over the measurement window
Target price
$45.52
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$39.00 – $42.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$42.54
published April 29, 2026
Confidence
60%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Q1 showed record results, sales more than doubled compared to last year, and the company raised full-year forecasts. Electronics and AI-related demand is helping volumes. The stock already reflects much of the good news, analyst fair value is below the market price, and insiders sound cautious. A price pullback would lower valuation risk.

Primary drivers

  • Record Q1 shows stronger electronics demand
  • Raised guidance gives clearer earnings outlook
  • AI-related markets are supporting chemical volumes
  • Setup is sensitive to pullbacks, so valuation is important

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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