Track record · closed signal

SouthState Corporation (SSB) — closed signal from April 29, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 28, 2026 — +8.3% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

SSB price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$94.00 – $100.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$98.41Published — price the day we called it

$111.20Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$107.40Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$106.60Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 70% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close

+8.3%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+9.1%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+4.4%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$106.60

last close inside the window, ended July 28, 2026

Peak price

$107.40

peak on July 27, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published April 29, 2026

Predicted growth

+13%

over the measurement window

Target price

$111.20

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$94.00 – $100.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$98.41

published April 29, 2026

Confidence

74%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

SouthState showed stronger-than-expected profit per share, steady fee income, and decent loan activity, which supports its credibility as a regional bank. However, revenue and interest income were weaker, so caution is warranted. The stock trades near short-term support, valuation looks reasonable, the balance sheet is comparatively strong, but low trading volume and sensitivity to interest rates limit conviction.

Primary drivers

Earnings beat strengthens profit credibility and outlook
Rising loans and fees help operations and revenue mix
Relatively strong balance sheet versus regional peers lowers risk
Reasonable valuation makes the stock less expensive than peers

How it played out

SSB: rose 9.1% but missed the target

Lyra published a thesis for a 13% rise from 98.41 toward 111.20. The thesis pointed to stronger-than-expected profit per share, rising loans and fees, a relatively strong balance sheet, and a reasonable valuation. It also noted weaker revenue and interest income, low trading volume, and interest-rate sensitivity.

During the window, SSB peaked at 107.40 on July 27, a gain of 9.1%. It never reached 111.20. It ended July 28 at 106.60. The stock rose, but the published thesis only partially played out because the expected 13% gain was not achieved.

What happened during the window

On May 7, 2026, SouthState announced four new hires for its Tampa market. On June 16, 2026, the bank announced plans for its first full-service branch in St. Petersburg.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All SSB signals