Track record · closed signal

LendingClub Corp (LC) — closed signal from April 28, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 27, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

LC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$17.97 Published $21.20 Target $0.18 Window close $18.95 Peak
$16.50 – $17.80Entry zone — fair-value band
$17.97Published — price the day we called it
$21.20Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$18.95Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$0.18Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 30% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$18.95
peak on June 15, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+5.4%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$0.18
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
April 28, 2026 – July 27, 2026

The thesis — published April 28, 2026

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$21.20
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$16.50 – $17.80
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$17.97
published April 28, 2026
Confidence
70%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

LendingClub is growing faster than other banks here: loan originations, pre-tax profit, and recent earnings all improved. That creates clear upside if borrowers keep paying. The stock is volatile and insiders have sold shares, and the price already rose quickly-so near-term gains need careful timing after the rally.

Primary drivers

  • More loans originated and pre-tax profits improved in the latest report
  • Earnings beat shows the business is gaining momentum
  • Strong cash position gives the company more flexibility in stress
  • Stock swings a lot and exposure to consumer loans adds risk

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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