Track record · closed signal

Old National Bancorp (ONB) — closed signal from April 28, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 27, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

ONB price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$23.68 Published $26.20 Target $26.41 Window close $27.32 Peak
$22.64 – $23.52Entry zone — fair-value band
$23.68Published — price the day we called it
$26.20Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$27.32Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$26.41Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 69 days.

Peak price
$27.32
peak on July 16, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+15.4%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$26.41
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
69
Window
April 28, 2026 – July 27, 2026

The thesis — published April 28, 2026

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$26.20
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$22.64 – $23.52
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$23.68
published April 28, 2026
Confidence
71%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Old National is a regional bank showing steady improvement: reported adjusted profits above expectations, lending is growing, and operations are becoming more efficient. The stock looks reasonably valued for the recent progress, and price action is not weak, though trading volume is low. Credit risks and limited outside support keep confidence moderate, but near-term setup is plausible within a diversified bank mix.

Primary drivers

  • Earnings surprised higher and loans are growing
  • Cost improvements are boosting profitability
  • Price seems fair given recent performance
  • Price action is constructive but trading volume is light

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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