Track record · closed signal

Range Resources Corp (RRC) — closed signal from April 28, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 27, 2026 — -11.6% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

RRC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$42.83 Published $48.27 Target $37.88 Window close $43.80 Peak
$41.28 – $43.27Entry zone — fair-value band
$42.83Published — price the day we called it
$48.27Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$43.80Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$37.88Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 18% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close
-11.6%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+2.3%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+4.1%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$37.88
last close inside the window, ended July 27, 2026
Peak price
$43.80
peak on April 29, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target

The thesis — published April 28, 2026

Predicted growth
+13%
over the measurement window
Target price
$48.27
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$41.28 – $43.27
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$42.83
published April 28, 2026
Confidence
76%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Range Resources reported record quarterly sales and strong profit, and it enlarged its share-buyback plan. The stock sits near its trend support, so timing looks reasonable. Exposure to gas prices and low trading volume make this not low-risk, but the short-term reward could be attractive if gas prices hold.

Primary drivers

  • Quarterly sales and profit reached record levels
  • Higher prices are helping the company get better paid for gas
  • Company increased the amount it can buy back in shares
  • Broader energy news about supply problems supports prices

How it played out

RRC: the 13% growth thesis missed its target

Lyra published a short-term thesis for RRC at $42.83, with expected growth of 13% toward $48.27. The thesis pointed to record quarterly sales and profit, better gas pricing, a larger share-buyback plan, and energy supply news that supported prices. It also noted exposure to gas prices and low trading volume.

RRC reached its window high of $43.80 on April 29, a gain of 2.3%. It never reached the $48.27 target. The shares ended the measurement window at $37.88, below both the publication price and the target. The thesis did not play out.

What happened during the window

On May 29, Range declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.10 per common share. On July 21, the company reported second-quarter cash flow from operating activities of $235 million and said it had repurchased $78 million of shares during the quarter.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.