Track record · closed signal

Valley National Bancorp (VLY) — closed signal from April 28, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 27, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

VLY price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$13.52 Published $15.30 Target $14.35 Window close $15.20 Peak
$12.90 – $13.49Entry zone — fair-value band
$13.52Published — price the day we called it
$15.30Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$15.20Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$14.35Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price
$15.20
peak on July 16, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+12.4%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$14.35
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
April 28, 2026 – July 27, 2026

The thesis — published April 28, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$15.30
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$12.90 – $13.49
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$13.52
published April 28, 2026
Confidence
80%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Valley stands out as a straightforward regional bank. Recent results showed stronger sales and adjusted profits than expected, core deposits grew, and the bank is investing in technology to run more efficiently. Insider buying adds a vote of confidence. Momentum is positive but trading volume is light, so shorter-term strength looks best on measured pullbacks.

Primary drivers

  • Earnings beat with growing core deposits supports stability
  • Tech investment should lower costs and improve efficiency
  • Insider buying signals internal confidence in the recovery
  • Positive sector momentum but trading volume is light, so timing risk

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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