Track record · closed signal

Valley National Bancorp (VLY) — closed signal from April 27, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 26, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

VLY price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$13.46 Published $15.23 Target $14.34 Window close $15.20 Peak
$12.81 – $13.49Entry zone — fair-value band
$13.46Published — price the day we called it
$15.23Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$15.20Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$14.34Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price
$15.20
peak on July 16, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+12.9%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$14.34
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
April 27, 2026 – July 26, 2026

The thesis — published April 27, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$15.23
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$12.81 – $13.49
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$13.46
published April 27, 2026
Confidence
82%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Valley National looks like the healthiest regional bank in its peer group. Recent reports show rising interest income, higher fees, stable customer deposits and better cost efficiency. Profit delivery, solid liquidity and insider buying add support. Main danger is loans and commercial real estate exposure, but recent price action feels reasonable, not overstretched.

Primary drivers

  • Recent results showed higher interest income, fees and deposit growth
  • Spending on technology is lowering operating costs over time
  • Insider buying and ample liquidity ease balance-sheet concerns
  • Price action is positive without appearing overly extended

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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