Track record · closed signal

Range Resources Corp (RRC) — closed signal from April 27, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 26, 2026 — -7.8% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

RRC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$40.29 – $42.28Entry zone — fair-value band

$42.27Published — price the day we called it

$47.22Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$43.82Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$38.97Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 31% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close

-7.8%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+3.7%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+3.6%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$38.97

last close inside the window, ended July 26, 2026

Peak price

$43.82

peak on April 27, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published April 27, 2026

Predicted growth

+12%

over the measurement window

Target price

$47.22

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$40.29 – $42.28

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$42.27

published April 27, 2026

Confidence

72%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Range Resources stands out because recent quarterly results showed record performance, better selling prices and healthy profits, giving the company a clearer, company-specific reason to move higher than many peers. Valuation looks reasonable for a commodity producer. However, weak price momentum, light trading volume and some debt mean confidence is cautious heading into the next quarter.

Primary drivers

Quarterly results hit record levels and pricing improved
Share price looks reasonable versus recent profit momentum
Company execution is stronger than the broader energy group
Exposure to commodity swings and debt keeps conviction limited

How it played out

RRC: the 12% thesis did not play out

Lyra published RRC at $42.27 with 12% expected growth and a $47.22 target. The thesis pointed to record quarterly results, improved pricing, healthy profits, reasonable valuation, and stronger company execution than the broader energy group. Weak price momentum, light volume, commodity exposure, and debt limited conviction.

RRC peaked at $43.82 on April 27, a 3.7% gain. It never reached the $47.22 target. By July 26, the price had fallen to $38.97, below the publication price and the entry zone. The thesis did not play out within the window.

What happened during the window

On May 29, Range declared a $0.10 quarterly dividend. On July 21, the company reported second-quarter operating cash flow of $235 million and $78 million in share repurchases.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All RRC signals