Track record · closed signal

Compania de Minas Buenaventura SAA ADR (BVN) — closed signal from April 27, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 26, 2026 — -4.4% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

BVN price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$31.00 – $33.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$32.34Published — price the day we called it

$38.16Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$38.65Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$30.91Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 15 days.

At window close

-4.4%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+19.5%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+3.6%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$30.91

last close inside the window, ended July 26, 2026

Peak price

$38.65

peak on May 13, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published April 27, 2026

Predicted growth

+18%

over the measurement window

Target price

$38.16

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$31.00 – $33.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$32.34

published April 27, 2026

Confidence

74%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

BVN is a mining company that could rebound: strong exposure to gold and silver, healthy profits, and an upcoming earnings report that could confirm production strength. A big analyst target upgrade brought attention. However, price action looks weak right now, so this reads as a tactical recovery idea rather than a clear, proven uptrend.

Primary drivers

Exposure to gold, silver and copper that can benefit if metal demand holds up
Earnings coming soon that could confirm stronger production and profits
A major target raise brought fresh investor attention to the stock
Price looks oversold, which can lead to a tactical rebound but momentum is fragile

How it played out

BVN: target reached in 15 days

Lyra published BVN as a short-term tactical rebound from 32.34, with 18% expected growth and a 38.16 target. The thesis pointed to gold, silver and copper exposure, healthy profits, an upcoming earnings report that could confirm production strength, a major analyst target raise, and an oversold price. It also said momentum was fragile.

Within the window, BVN reached 38.65 on May 13, a 19.5% peak gain. It reached the target in 15 days. By July 26, the price had fallen to 30.91, below the 32.34 publication price. The rebound thesis played out because the target was reached, although the gain did not hold through the end of the window.

What happened during the window

On April 29, Buenaventura released its first-quarter earnings. On July 16, the company announced second-quarter production and sales volumes by metal.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All BVN signals