Track record · closed signal

Lam Research Corp (LRCX) — closed signal from April 26, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 25, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

LRCX price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$267.78 Published $294.56 Target $305.21 Window close $438.50 Peak
$252.00 – $270.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$267.78Published — price the day we called it
$294.56Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$438.50Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$305.21Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 10 days.

Peak price
$438.50
peak on June 30, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+63.8%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$305.21
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
10
Window
April 26, 2026 – July 25, 2026

The thesis — published April 26, 2026

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$294.56
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$252.00 – $270.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$267.78
published April 26, 2026
Confidence
67%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Lam is a leading maker of machines used to make advanced computer chips. Business and earnings are solid and demand for high-end chips is strong. New export-control proposals could make sales to China less certain, which raises short-term risk and makes nearer-term upside less attractive than some larger chip names.

Primary drivers

  • Rising demand for machines used in advanced chip production
  • Reliable profit and sales performance over recent periods
  • Export-control proposals could reduce orders from China
  • Higher valuation limits room for downside if policy worsens

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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