Track record · closed signal

Berkshire Hathaway Inc (BRK-B) — closed signal from April 26, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 25, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

BRK-B price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$469.32 Published $506.87 Target $494.93 Window close $512.58 Peak
$458.00 – $472.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$469.32Published — price the day we called it
$506.87Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$512.58Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$494.93Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 67 days.

Peak price
$512.58
peak on July 7, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+9.2%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$494.93
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
67
Window
April 26, 2026 – July 25, 2026

The thesis — published April 26, 2026

Predicted growth
+8%
over the measurement window
Target price
$506.87
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$458.00 – $472.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$469.32
published April 26, 2026
Confidence
70%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Berkshire is held for balance and safety more than big short-term gains. The company has lots of cash and many different businesses, which can steady returns if high-growth trades cool off. The new CEO decision reduces leadership uncertainty. Near-term momentum is weak, so the likely outcome over the next few months is steady performance with limited upside.

Primary drivers

  • Owning many kinds of businesses makes results steadier in downturns
  • A big cash pile lets the company act on investments or payouts
  • Clear CEO succession removes a key uncertainty for shareholders
  • Historically lower price swings help when high-growth stocks stumble

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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