Track record · closed signal

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) — closed signal from April 26, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 25, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

NVDA price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$208.27 Published $249.92 Target $206.84 Window close $236.54 Peak
$196.00 – $210.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$208.27Published — price the day we called it
$249.92Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$236.54Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$206.84Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 68% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$236.54
peak on May 14, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+13.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$206.84
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
April 26, 2026 – July 25, 2026

The thesis — published April 26, 2026

Predicted growth
+20%
over the measurement window
Target price
$249.92
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$196.00 – $210.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$208.27
published April 26, 2026
Confidence
76%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

NVIDIA leads the market for chips and systems used in AI and data centers. Sales and demand from cloud and enterprise customers are driving strong profit and cash, and investor optimism has pushed valuation to record levels. That strength is offset by heavy crowding, stretched price/volume behavior and insider selling, so the most likely near-term path is a period of steadying rather than another big run.

Primary drivers

  • Strong demand from data centers and AI customers
  • High profits and a healthy cash position support stability
  • Industry optimism reinforces NVIDIA's leading position
  • Widespread ownership and high price extension make timing key

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All NVDA signals