Track record · closed signal

The Coca-Cola Company (KO) — closed signal from April 24, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 23, 2026 — +6.8% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

KO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$75.97 Published $80.01 Target $81.17 Window close $85.68 Peak
$74.04 – $75.52Entry zone — fair-value band
$75.97Published — price the day we called it
$80.01Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$85.68Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$81.17Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 21 days.

At window close
+6.8%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+12.8%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+3.7%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$81.17
last close inside the window, ended July 23, 2026
Peak price
$85.68
peak on July 7, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
21

The thesis — published April 24, 2026

Predicted growth
+6%
over the measurement window
Target price
$80.01
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$74.04 – $75.52
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$75.97
published April 24, 2026
Confidence
62%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Coca-Cola looks like a defensive holding: it tends to lose less value when markets are bumpy and has steady news and institutional owners. Near-term earnings are a scheduled event, but growth is modest, some insiders are selling, and price action has not shown clear upward momentum. Overall, it reads as a capital-preservation name rather than a high-upside pick.

Primary drivers

  • Well-known beverage brands that usually hold value in weak markets
  • Earnings coming soon give a clear near-term event to watch
  • Price is near trend support after a period of limited upside
  • Consistent cash generation reduces the chance of big losses

How it played out

KO: target reached in 21 days

Lyra published KO at $75.97 with 6% expected growth and a target of $80.01. The thesis described it as a defensive holding with modest growth. It pointed to durable beverage brands, steady cash generation, nearby trend support, and upcoming earnings.

KO reached the target in 21 days. It later rose to a window peak of $85.68 on July 7, a 12.8% gain. The price ended the window at $81.17, still above the target. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On April 28, Coca-Cola reported that first-quarter net revenue grew 12%. On June 1, the company announced that it was exploring a potential public listing in India for the parent of its largest bottler there.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.