Track record · closed signal

First American Corporation (FAF) — closed signal from April 24, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 23, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

FAF price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$70.31 Published $77.41 Target $68.96 Window close $73.50 Peak
$66.89 – $68.86Entry zone — fair-value band
$70.31Published — price the day we called it
$77.41Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$73.50Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$68.96Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 41% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$73.50
peak on July 17, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+4.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$68.96
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
April 24, 2026 – July 23, 2026

The thesis — published April 24, 2026

Predicted growth
+11%
over the measurement window
Target price
$77.41
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$66.89 – $68.86
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$70.31
published April 24, 2026
Confidence
75%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

First American reported better-than-expected results, strong commercial activity, and progress automating operations. Those things point to improving profits and a clearer business story. The stock jumped after the news and looks extended versus its recent path, so the case for the next quarter is intact but timing is less attractive unless the price cools.

Primary drivers

  • Better-than-expected results show commercial demand is strong
  • Automation rollout should help profit margins over time
  • No debt and steady cash make downside more controlled
  • A price pullback after the surge would improve timing

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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