Track record · closed signal

Agree Realty Corporation (ADC) — closed signal from April 23, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 22, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

ADC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$76.32 Published $83.07 Target $80.22 Window close $81.79 Peak
$73.92 – $75.88Entry zone — fair-value band
$76.32Published — price the day we called it
$83.07Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$81.79Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$80.22Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 72% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$81.79
peak on July 17, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+7.2%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$80.22
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
April 23, 2026 – July 22, 2026

The thesis — published April 23, 2026

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$83.07
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$73.92 – $75.88
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$76.32
published April 23, 2026
Confidence
84%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Agree Realty looks like a relatively defensive option for the next few months. Recent company commentary showed record property buys, steady growth in core cash flow, almost full occupancy, and a strong plan to raise capital when needed. Shares have fallen but are near a historical support area, which creates a mix of downside protection and limited upside potential.

Primary drivers

  • Company reported stronger core cash flow and continued property buying momentum
  • High occupancy and planned equity access back the company's plans
  • Shares are oversold but sitting near historical support levels
  • Earnings commentary emphasized a defensive, steady growth profile

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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