Track record · closed signal

Intuitive Surgical Inc (ISRG) — closed signal from April 22, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 21, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

ISRG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$484.12 Published $561.57 Target $350.06 Window close $491.15 Peak
$472.00 – $486.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$484.12Published — price the day we called it
$561.57Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$491.15Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$350.06Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 9% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$491.15
peak on April 22, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+1.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$350.06
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
April 22, 2026 – July 21, 2026

The thesis — published April 22, 2026

Predicted growth
+16%
over the measurement window
Target price
$561.57
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$472.00 – $486.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$484.12
published April 22, 2026
Confidence
86%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Intuitive showed a strong quarter with higher procedure growth and a better full-year outlook, reinforcing both growth and steady revenue from instruments and services. The price action after earnings looks orderly, not overstretched, so the stock appears positioned to follow through while short-term enthusiasm settles.

Primary drivers

  • Company raised procedure forecasts after a strong quarter
  • Repeating instrument and service sales provide steady revenue
  • Wide adoption of the platform across current and new systems
  • Post-earnings price action looks orderly, not extreme

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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