Track record · closed signal

Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) — closed signal from April 22, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 21, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

LLY price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$919.97 Published $1,057.96 Target $1,175.41 Window close $1,249.45 Peak
$900.00 – $930.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$919.97Published — price the day we called it
$1,057.96Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$1,249.45Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$1,175.41Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 30 days.

Peak price
$1,249.45
peak on July 7, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+35.8%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$1,175.41
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
30
Window
April 22, 2026 – July 21, 2026

The thesis — published April 22, 2026

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$1,057.96
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$900.00 – $930.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$919.97
published April 22, 2026
Confidence
82%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Eli Lilly mixes steady demand with growth potential over the next quarter. Positive trial results and wider GLP-1 availability point to stronger sales for obesity and diabetes drugs, and the stock's recent pullback makes the timing more reasonable. The company still has momentum in its key drug areas, but recent headlines mean patience is helpful.

Primary drivers

  • Obesity and diabetes drugs remain main growth engines
  • Positive trial results support longer-lasting product demand
  • Wider GLP-1 distribution increases potential customer reach
  • Recent pullback makes the price setup more reasonable for recovery

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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