Track record · closed signal

Frontline Ltd (FRO) — closed signal from April 21, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 20, 2026 — +3.3% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

FRO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$33.06 – $34.43Entry zone — fair-value band

$35.73Published — price the day we called it

$37.32Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$43.10Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$36.93Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 52 days.

At window close

+3.3%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+20.6%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+5.7%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$36.93

last close inside the window, ended July 20, 2026

Peak price

$43.10

peak on June 24, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published April 21, 2026

Predicted growth

+9%

over the measurement window

Target price

$37.32

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$33.06 – $34.43

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$35.73

published April 21, 2026

Confidence

70%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Frontline is a short-term energy pick tied to tanker rates and recent worries around the Strait of Hormuz. Those concerns can lift shipping prices and benefit the company over the next few months, but outcomes depend heavily on news. The current price action looks steadier than many event-driven names, supporting a cautious 0-3 month view.

Primary drivers

Uncertainty around the Strait of Hormuz keeps tanker rates elevated
Ongoing shipping headlines are helping the stock hold relative strength
Price action looks healthier than many crowded energy plays
Direct link to crude transport makes the idea very news-sensitive

How it played out

FRO: target reached in 52 days

Lyra published FRO at 35.73 with 9% expected growth over the short term. The thesis pointed to elevated tanker rates amid uncertainty around the Strait of Hormuz, supportive shipping headlines, healthier price action than many crowded energy names, and the company's direct link to crude transport. It also described the idea as highly sensitive to news.

The price reached the 37.32 target in 52 days. It later peaked at 43.10 on June 24, a 20.6% gain. By July 20, it had fallen to 36.93, below the target but above the publication price. The thesis played out within the measurement window and exceeded its expected growth.

What happened during the window

On May 22, 2026, Frontline published its first-quarter 2026 results. The company also released its first-quarter presentation that day.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All FRO signals