Track record · closed signal

Bank of America Corp (BAC) — closed signal from April 21, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 20, 2026 — +11.2% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

BAC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$51.96 – $53.94Entry zone — fair-value band

$54.34Published — price the day we called it

$60.54Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$62.12Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$60.42Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 84 days.

At window close

+11.2%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+14.3%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+5.7%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$60.42

last close inside the window, ended July 20, 2026

Peak price

$62.12

peak on July 17, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published April 21, 2026

Predicted growth

+12%

over the measurement window

Target price

$60.54

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$51.96 – $53.94

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$54.34

published April 21, 2026

Confidence

75%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Bank of America looks attractive after beating expectations and getting higher price targets from two firms. The stock moved up sharply after results and is extended, so the short-term case depends on some pullback. Still, valuation looks reasonable and updated forecasts support a positive 0-3 month outlook.

Primary drivers

Brokerages raised targets after a solid quarterly report, improving tone
Positive results across big banks are keeping investor sentiment healthy
Reasonable valuation gives some protection versus expensive growth names
A modest retreat would reduce price stretch and make the setup cleaner

How it played out

BAC: target reached in 84 days

Lyra published a short-term case for BAC at 54.34, expecting 12% growth toward 60.54. The thesis pointed to raised brokerage targets after a solid quarterly report, healthy sentiment across large banks and a reasonable valuation. It also said a pullback would make the setup cleaner after the earlier rise.

BAC reached 60.54 after 84 days and later peaked at 62.12 on July 17, a 14.3% gain from publication. It ended the window at 60.42 on July 20, just under the target after having cleared it. The published thesis played out within the measurement window.

What happened during the window

On July 13, Bank of America announced nine senior hires for its regional investment banking business. On July 14, the company reported its second-quarter 2026 financial results.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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