Track record · closed signal

Frontline Ltd (FRO) — closed signal from April 20, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 19, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

FRO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$34.41 Published $36.93 Target $36.49 Window close $43.10 Peak
$31.68 – $33.52Entry zone — fair-value band
$34.41Published — price the day we called it
$36.93Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$43.10Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$36.49Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 53 days.

Peak price
$43.10
peak on June 24, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+25.3%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$36.49
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
53
Window
April 20, 2026 – July 19, 2026

The thesis — published April 20, 2026

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$36.93
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$31.68 – $33.52
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$34.41
published April 20, 2026
Confidence
72%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Frontline is a short-term shipping idea, not a long-term core holding. Recent headlines about Hormuz lifted tanker demand, and public commentary on fair value sits above today's price. Industry rates could stay high next quarter, operations look a bit stronger, and the price picture is steady, so the setup looks workable but still event-driven.

Primary drivers

  • Hormuz headlines have pushed tanker demand higher
  • Operations show improving momentum for the business cycle
  • Public valuation notes suggest upside above current price
  • Price trend is steady and not yet crowded with buyers

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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