Track record · closed signal

Compania de Minas Buenaventura SAA ADR (BVN) — closed signal from April 20, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 19, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

BVN price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$35.09 Published $39.65 Target $30.24 Window close $38.65 Peak
$34.00 – $36.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$35.09Published — price the day we called it
$39.65Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$38.65Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$30.24Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 78% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$38.65
peak on May 13, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+10.2%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$30.24
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
April 20, 2026 – July 19, 2026

The thesis — published April 20, 2026

Predicted growth
+13%
over the measurement window
Target price
$39.65
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$34.00 – $36.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$35.09
published April 20, 2026
Confidence
78%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Buenaventura shows momentum from improved mine performance and better project execution, and the share price has pulled back to a safer level. Recent production news and a higher price target after progress at San Gabriel make the near-term outlook more constructive. Valuation looks reasonable given earnings strength, so a recovery seems possible without metals needing to surge.

Primary drivers

  • Production news and San Gabriel progress lifted the outlook
  • Solid earnings performance supports market sentiment
  • Valuation looks fair versus operating improvement
  • Price reset gives room for a steady recovery

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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