Track record · closed signal

Arista Networks (ANET) — closed signal from April 19, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 18, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

ANET price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$164.23 Published $180.65 Target $168.61 Window close $189.82 Peak
$154.00 – $161.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$164.23Published — price the day we called it
$180.65Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$189.82Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$168.61Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 80 days.

Peak price
$189.82
peak on July 9, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+15.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$168.61
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
80
Window
April 19, 2026 – July 18, 2026

The thesis — published April 19, 2026

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$180.65
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$154.00 – $161.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$164.23
published April 19, 2026
Confidence
67%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Arista is seeing continued demand for networking gear used in AI, and recent analyst upgrades make the upcoming earnings interesting in the next few months. The stock moved up quickly, so its price is somewhat stretched and could be sensitive if company comments are only neutral. The business looks strong, but waiting for a pullback would raise conviction.

Primary drivers

  • Demand for networking gear driven by AI projects stays central to revenue growth
  • Recent analyst upgrades make the upcoming earnings story more prominent
  • Low debt gives the company flexibility to invest or weather slowdowns
  • The recent rapid price rise increases short-term timing risk

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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