Track record · closed signal

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) — closed signal from April 19, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 18, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

NVDA price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$201.68 Published $227.90 Target $202.81 Window close $236.54 Peak
$192.00 – $200.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$201.68Published — price the day we called it
$227.90Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$236.54Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$202.81Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 25 days.

Peak price
$236.54
peak on May 14, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+17.3%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$202.81
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
25
Window
April 19, 2026 – July 18, 2026

The thesis — published April 19, 2026

Predicted growth
+13%
over the measurement window
Target price
$227.90
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$192.00 – $200.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$201.68
published April 19, 2026
Confidence
74%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

NVIDIA's business is running very strongly and recent headlines about AI chips keep expectations high for the whole supply chain. The stock has jumped a lot and many investors already own it, so the main issue is timing. We see a short-term 0-3 month chance to profit if the price calms down and pulls back a bit to reduce the risk of a sudden drop.

Primary drivers

  • Demand for AI data-center hardware drives revenue growth
  • Recent industry news keeps orders and interest elevated
  • Strong cash and low debt help the company weather volatility
  • Price has outpaced the near-term trend, creating timing risk

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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See today’s picks All NVDA signals