Track record · closed signal

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) — closed signal from April 18, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 17, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

NVDA price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$201.68 Published $229.92 Target $202.81 Window close $236.54 Peak
$194.00 – $198.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$201.68Published — price the day we called it
$229.92Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$236.54Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$202.81Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 26 days.

Peak price
$236.54
peak on May 14, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+17.3%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$202.81
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
26
Window
April 18, 2026 – July 17, 2026

The thesis — published April 18, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$229.92
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$194.00 – $198.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$201.68
published April 18, 2026
Confidence
70%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

NVIDIA remains on watch because new Blackwell Ultra news keeps confirming its lead in AI hardware and demand from data centers is strong. The company's business fundamentals are solid, but the stock moved up quickly and many investors already own it, so market swings could be larger. Upside is likely next quarter, yet the setup is safer after a pullback.

Primary drivers

  • Blackwell Ultra news shows continued AI hardware leadership
  • Rising demand from data centers supports sales growth
  • Company keeps a premium position in fast computing products
  • A drop toward support would make the setup more attractive

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All NVDA signals