Track record · closed signal

Compania de Minas Buenaventura SAA ADR (BVN) — closed signal from April 18, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 17, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

BVN price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$35.74 Published $41.10 Target $30.24 Window close $38.65 Peak
$34.50 – $36.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$35.74Published — price the day we called it
$41.10Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$38.65Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$30.24Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 54% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$38.65
peak on May 13, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+8.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$30.24
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
April 18, 2026 – July 17, 2026

The thesis — published April 18, 2026

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$41.10
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$34.50 – $36.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$35.74
published April 18, 2026
Confidence
83%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Buenaventura looks appealing because recent operating results and a higher price target from Morgan Stanley line up just before an earnings report, creating a clear near-term event. The stock trades close to a recent low rather than being extended higher, which gives a better balance between possible gains and controlling losses over the next quarter.

Primary drivers

  • Recent production numbers support confidence before the earnings report
  • A higher target from a large bank suggests improving operating outlook
  • Current valuation looks reasonable versus recent business progress
  • Shares trading near a low improves the tactical rebound picture

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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