Track record · closed signal

Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) — closed signal from April 18, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 17, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

LLY price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$927.03 Published $1,084.63 Target $1,179.11 Window close $1,249.45 Peak
$905.00 – $925.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$927.03Published — price the day we called it
$1,084.63Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$1,249.45Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$1,179.11Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 39 days.

Peak price
$1,249.45
peak on July 7, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+34.8%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$1,179.11
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
39
Window
April 18, 2026 – July 17, 2026

The thesis — published April 18, 2026

Predicted growth
+17%
over the measurement window
Target price
$1,084.63
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$905.00 – $925.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$927.03
published April 18, 2026
Confidence
85%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Eli Lilly has steady business momentum and reliable execution, and recent updates on the Foundayo treatment keep attention on its diabetes and obesity products. The stock isn't as overextended as many fast growers, so the situation looks reasonably balanced: some protection in weak markets, clear near-term news to watch, and solid earnings quality for the coming quarter.

Primary drivers

  • Foundayo safety and filing plans create near-term news potential
  • Diabetes and obesity drugs keep revenue growth steady
  • Stock sits nearer trend support than many high-growth peers
  • Ongoing positive newsflow reinforces product leadership story

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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