Track record · closed signal

The Coca-Cola Company (KO) — closed signal from April 17, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 16, 2026 — +13.5% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

KO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$73.55 – $74.83Entry zone — fair-value band

$74.83Published — price the day we called it

$80.29Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$85.68Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$84.92Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 28 days.

At window close

+13.5%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+14.5%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+6%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$84.92

last close inside the window, ended July 16, 2026

Peak price

$85.68

peak on July 7, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published April 17, 2026

Predicted growth

+8%

over the measurement window

Target price

$80.29

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$73.55 – $74.83

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$74.83

published April 17, 2026

Confidence

69%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

We see Coca-Cola as a defensive stock with steady operations and strong brands. Recent attention on Fairlife adds to the growth story. The price has fallen from earlier levels, so short-term improvement would likely be a bounce back toward normal trading rather than a strong new uptrend. Momentum needs more work, so gains look limited over the next few months.

Primary drivers

Fairlife coverage supports medium-term sales growth
Well-known brands and consistent execution help margins
Recent weakness raises chance of a bounce back
Offers defensive exposure if market leadership narrows

How it played out

KO: target reached in 28 days and later exceeded

Lyra published KO at $74.83 with an expected gain of 8% and an $80.29 target. The thesis expected a limited short-term rebound rather than a strong new uptrend. It pointed to Fairlife coverage, established brands, consistent execution, recent price weakness, and defensive exposure if market leadership narrowed.

KO reached the target in 28 days. It later peaked at $85.68 on July 7, a 14.5% gain, and finished the window at $84.92. The peak was above the target, and the closing price remained above it. The published thesis played out, and the measured gain exceeded the expected 8%.

What happened during the window

On April 28, 2026, Coca-Cola reported first-quarter net revenue growth of 12% and organic revenue growth of 10%. On June 1, 2026, it said it was exploring a 2027 public listing in India for the parent of its largest bottler there.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All KO signals