Track record · closed signal

TAL Education Group (TAL) — closed signal from April 16, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 15, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

TAL price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$12.10 Published $13.79 Target $10.45 Window close $12.84 Peak
$11.50 – $11.90Entry zone — fair-value band
$12.10Published — price the day we called it
$13.79Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$12.84Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$10.45Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 44% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$12.84
peak on April 17, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+6.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$10.45
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
April 16, 2026 – July 15, 2026

The thesis — published April 16, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$13.79
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$11.50 – $11.90
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$12.10
published April 16, 2026
Confidence
66%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Near-term earnings on April 23 creates a clear event that can move the stock over the next 0-3 months. Recent operating performance has been strong, which supports that move. Caution is warranted because the price is already extended and it is unclear how the company will grow after the upcoming report.

Primary drivers

  • April earnings could confirm the recent positive operating trend
  • Large cash reserves help the company handle market swings
  • Recovering demand for education supports core revenue
  • A clear event date can draw short-term, event-focused interest

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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