Track record · closed signal

Valley National Bancorp (VLY) — closed signal from April 16, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 15, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

VLY price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$13.11 Published $14.18 Target $14.84 Window close $15.01 Peak
$12.61 – $12.90Entry zone — fair-value band
$13.11Published — price the day we called it
$14.18Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$15.01Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$14.84Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 55 days.

Peak price
$15.01
peak on July 7, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+14.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$14.84
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
55
Window
April 16, 2026 – July 15, 2026

The thesis — published April 16, 2026

Predicted growth
+9%
over the measurement window
Target price
$14.18
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$12.61 – $12.90
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$13.11
published April 16, 2026
Confidence
64%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

- Summarize positives: Phoenix expansion and a new small-business banking leader improve growth and sales opportunities. - Summarize concerns: the stock doesn't look cheap enough given sensitivity of smaller banks and near-term progress seems gradual. - Net view: constructive signs exist, but upside looks limited unless shares show firmer support and clearer follow-through.

Primary drivers

  • Phoenix expansion widens commercial-banking footprint
  • New small-business leader can boost sales to local clients
  • Smaller regional banks face tougher sentiment than big banks
  • Planned improvements feel gradual, so near-term gains may be limited

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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