Track record · closed signal

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) — closed signal from April 14, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 13, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

NVDA price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$192.58 Published $219.54 Target $203.53 Window close $236.54 Peak
$182.00 – $188.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$192.58Published — price the day we called it
$219.54Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$236.54Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$203.53Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 27 days.

Peak price
$236.54
peak on May 14, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+22.8%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$203.53
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
27
Window
April 14, 2026 – July 13, 2026

The thesis — published April 14, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$219.54
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$182.00 – $188.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$192.58
published April 14, 2026
Confidence
72%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

NVIDIA leads the market for AI data-center chips and keeps making strong profits and consistent quarterly results. Recent headlines are mostly about the whole tech sector, not a new company-specific event, so the near-term case depends on its market leadership. Shares moved up a lot with heavy buying, so the trade looks safer after a pullback.

Primary drivers

  • Leadership in AI chips drives most data-center spending decisions
  • Consistent strong quarterly results justify a premium valuation
  • High market visibility keeps investor attention on the stock
  • After heavy buying, entries look better on price pullbacks

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All NVDA signals