Track record · closed signal

Salesforce.com Inc (CRM) — closed signal from April 13, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 12, 2026 — -2.7% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

CRM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$167.87 Published $184.18 Target $163.32 Window close $210.80 Peak
$162.16 – $168.13Entry zone — fair-value band
$167.87Published — price the day we called it
$184.18Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$210.80Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$163.32Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 4 days.

At window close
-2.7%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+25.6%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+10.3%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$163.32
last close inside the window, ended July 12, 2026
Peak price
$210.80
peak on June 1, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
4

The thesis — published April 13, 2026

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$184.18
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$162.16 – $168.13
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$167.87
published April 13, 2026
Confidence
63%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Salesforce could bounce after a big sector-wide drop because its business results are still solid. But recent news about a data breach and AI-related layoffs has made the near-term picture shaky. The stock looks oversold and might rally, yet the trend needs clearer stabilization, so this is a lower-priority recovery idea for 0-3 months.

Primary drivers

  • Ongoing demand for core enterprise software sustains revenue
  • Worries around AI disruption keep the stock from recovering quickly
  • Data breach and layoffs create immediate negative headlines and uncertainty
  • Oversold trading raises odds of a bounce but needs clearer confirmation

How it played out

CRM: target reached in 4 days

Lyra published CRM at $167.87 with an expected 10% rise to $184.18 over 0 to 3 months. The thesis pointed to steady demand for core enterprise software and oversold trading, while concerns about artificial intelligence disruption, a data breach, and layoffs made it a lower-priority recovery idea.

CRM reached the target in 4 days. It later peaked at $210.80 on June 1, a 25.6% gain, but ended the window at $163.32 on July 12. The expected bounce played out and exceeded the published target inside the window, even though the stock gave back the rise by the end.

What happened during the window

Salesforce reported its first-quarter fiscal 2027 results on May 27. On June 15, it announced an agreement to acquire Fin for approximately $3.6 billion.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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