Track record · closed signal

Frontline Ltd (FRO) — closed signal from April 13, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 12, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

FRO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$33.39 Published $36.48 Target $38.13 Window close $43.10 Peak
$31.22 – $33.06Entry zone — fair-value band
$33.39Published — price the day we called it
$36.48Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$43.10Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$38.13Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 38 days.

Peak price
$43.10
peak on June 24, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+29.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$38.13
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
38
Window
April 13, 2026 – July 12, 2026

The thesis — published April 13, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$36.48
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$31.22 – $33.06
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$33.39
published April 13, 2026
Confidence
72%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Recent problems around traffic through the Strait of Hormuz have raised demand for tankers and reduced how many ships are available. That helps a company that sells cargo on spot markets because it can earn more quickly. The shares have pulled back into a calmer range, but the idea is risky: debt is high and the benefit depends on geopolitical pressure lasting this quarter.

Primary drivers

  • Hormuz disruptions raise tanker demand and push rates higher
  • Selling on the spot market turns higher rates into quicker earnings
  • Price pullback created a more disciplined entry range
  • High debt and event dependence make the trade riskier

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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