Track record · closed signal

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) — closed signal from April 12, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 11, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

NVDA price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$188.63 Published $216.92 Target $210.96 Window close $236.54 Peak
$181.00 – $186.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$188.63Published — price the day we called it
$216.92Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$236.54Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$210.96Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 26 days.

Peak price
$236.54
peak on May 14, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+25.4%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$210.96
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
26
Window
April 12, 2026 – July 11, 2026

The thesis — published April 12, 2026

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$216.92
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$181.00 – $186.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$188.63
published April 12, 2026
Confidence
73%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

NVIDIA still leads the market for the computers and chips that power artificial intelligence, and recent market talk kept big investors buying large tech names. The company also has a stronger balance sheet and track record of execution than many high-momentum stocks. Because the share price moved up quickly and many buyers piled in, a small pullback would make the near-term trade more attractive.

Primary drivers

  • Market-leading products for AI infrastructure drive revenue and profits
  • Recent investor focus kept demand concentrated on large AI names
  • Stronger balance sheet and steady execution reduce financial risk
  • A small price drop could ease crowded buying and improve setup

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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See today’s picks All NVDA signals