Track record · closed signal

Frontline Ltd (FRO) — closed signal from April 12, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 11, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

FRO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$32.91 Published $35.32 Target $38.13 Window close $43.10 Peak
$30.30 – $31.68Entry zone — fair-value band
$32.91Published — price the day we called it
$35.32Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$43.10Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$38.13Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 23 days.

Peak price
$43.10
peak on June 24, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+31%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$38.13
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
23
Window
April 12, 2026 – July 11, 2026

The thesis — published April 12, 2026

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$35.32
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$30.30 – $31.68
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$32.91
published April 12, 2026
Confidence
68%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Frontline is a short-term trade rather than a long-term holding. Headlines about shipping through the Strait of Hormuz can quickly push tanker demand and rates higher, which helps Frontline. However, the company's own recent performance has been uneven and broader buying strength is not yet obvious, so gains are possible but less reliable than other ideas.

Primary drivers

  • Tanker rates jump quickly when shipping gets disrupted
  • Current weakness limits downside, defining risk clearly
  • Adds energy exposure versus a tech-heavy mix
  • Company execution has been inconsistent versus peers

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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