Track record · closed signal

Valley National Bancorp (VLY) — closed signal from April 10, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 9, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

VLY price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$13.04 Published $14.36 Target $14.66 Window close $15.01 Peak
$12.41 – $12.85Entry zone — fair-value band
$13.04Published — price the day we called it
$14.36Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$15.01Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$14.66Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 63 days.

Peak price
$15.01
peak on July 7, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+15.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$14.66
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
63
Window
April 10, 2026 – July 9, 2026

The thesis — published April 10, 2026

Predicted growth
+11%
over the measurement window
Target price
$14.36
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$12.41 – $12.85
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$13.04
published April 10, 2026
Confidence
77%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Valley National looks like a steadier short-term bank pick because its price seems supported, operations are improving, and a clear earnings event is coming. New leadership in small-business banking and insider buying add support. The recent strong move makes a pullback toward support a more sensible entry.

Primary drivers

  • Earnings could show stronger loan and deposit trends, confirming momentum
  • New small-business banking leadership should help grow the franchise
  • Price still looks reasonable given the improving operational results
  • Insider buying and a positive rating offer extra downside protection

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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