Track record · closed signal

American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC) — closed signal from April 10, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 9, 2026 — -0.5% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

AMSC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$34.00 – $36.50Entry zone — fair-value band

$37.34Published — price the day we called it

$44.06Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$60.18Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$37.17Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 12 days.

At window close

-0.5%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+61.2%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+10.9%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$37.17

last close inside the window, ended July 9, 2026

Peak price

$60.18

peak on May 11, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published April 10, 2026

Predicted growth

+18%

over the measurement window

Target price

$44.06

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$34.00 – $36.50

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$37.34

published April 10, 2026

Confidence

70%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

AMSC looks like a short-term trading idea but the entry is fragile. The company has a strong balance sheet and exposure to grid and power resiliency that could help growth. Past big earnings beats mean forecasts can move up. Recent moves are driven by the sector, trading volume is thin, and the sharp rise increases the chance of a quick pullback before any lasting gain.

Primary drivers

Strong balance sheet reduces risk for a small company
Past big earnings surprises mean forecasts can improve
Exposure to grid and power resiliency supports longer-term upside
Low trading volume and a stretched price make entry riskier

How it played out

AMSC: target reached in 12 days

Lyra published AMSC as a short-term idea with 18% expected growth from 37.34, targeting 44.06. The thesis pointed to a strong balance sheet, past earnings surprises, and exposure to grid and power resiliency. It also warned that thin trading volume and a stretched price made the entry fragile and raised pullback risk.

AMSC reached 44.06 in 12 days. It later peaked at 60.18 on May 11, a 61.2% gain from the published price. By July 9, it had fallen to 37.17, slightly below the 37.34 publication price. The expected move played out inside the window and exceeded the target, even though the gain did not hold through the end.

What happened during the window

On May 27, 2026, AMSC reported fiscal 2025 revenue of $299.2 million, up 34% year over year, and a 12-month backlog of approximately $280 million.

AMSC Reports Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results and Business Outlook

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All AMSC signals