Track record · closed signal

Valley National Bancorp (VLY) — closed signal from April 9, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 8, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

VLY price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$12.89 Published $14.07 Target $14.47 Window close $15.01 Peak
$12.26 – $12.66Entry zone — fair-value band
$12.89Published — price the day we called it
$14.07Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$15.01Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$14.47Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 62 days.

Peak price
$15.01
peak on July 7, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+16.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$14.47
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
62
Window
April 9, 2026 – July 8, 2026

The thesis — published April 9, 2026

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$14.07
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$12.26 – $12.66
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$12.89
published April 9, 2026
Confidence
77%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Valley National looks steadier because its price, plans to return cash to shareholders, and an upcoming earnings report are aligned. The bank named a new small-business leader and announced buybacks, which supports the business story. The recent price move has been fast, so timing is important; the next quarter could be constructive if earnings confirm improving momentum.

Primary drivers

  • New commercial and small-business efforts could grow customer activity and revenue
  • Share buybacks increase the amount of stock held for remaining shareholders
  • Current valuation looks more reasonable than many other regional banks
  • Earnings coming soon could confirm whether business trends are improving

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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