Track record · closed signal

Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) — closed signal from April 8, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 7, 2026 — +15.2% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

GOOGL price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$318.62 Published $366.41 Target $367.03 Window close $408.61 Peak
$305.00 – $315.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$318.62Published — price the day we called it
$366.41Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$408.61Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$367.03Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 22 days.

At window close
+15.2%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+28.2%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+10.9%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$367.03
last close inside the window, ended July 7, 2026
Peak price
$408.61
peak on May 18, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
22

The thesis — published April 8, 2026

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$366.41
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$305.00 – $315.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$318.62
published April 8, 2026
Confidence
73%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Alphabet is a large, diversified tech company whose core businesses - search, video, and cloud - are doing well. A coming earnings report could keep attention high. New Google Ads certification helps the business, and recent market news has brought fresh interest. The main downside is the stock has risen a lot recently.

Primary drivers

  • Search, YouTube, and cloud give multiple steady income sources
  • Consistent strong results make the next report easier to read
  • Expanded Google Ads certification helps ad sales in practice
  • Recent market news has brought renewed interest in large tech

How it played out

GOOGL: target reached in 22 days

Lyra published GOOGL at $318.62 with expected growth of 15% and a target of $366.41. The thesis pointed to income from Search, YouTube, and cloud, consistent results ahead of the next report, expanded Google Ads certification, and renewed interest in large technology companies.

The price reached the target in 22 days. It peaked at $408.61 on May 18, a gain of 28.2% within the window. By July 7, it ended at $367.03, still above the target. The published thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On April 29, Alphabet reported first-quarter revenue of $109.9 billion, up 22% from a year earlier. On June 2, Alphabet announced the pricing of an equity capital raise totaling $84.75 billion.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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