Track record · closed signal

Arista Networks (ANET) — closed signal from April 7, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 6, 2026 — +34.3% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

ANET price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$129.05 Published $150.99 Target $173.28 Window close $179.80 Peak
$125.00 – $130.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$129.05Published — price the day we called it
$150.99Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$179.80Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$173.28Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 6 days.

At window close
+34.3%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+39.3%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+14.3%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$173.28
last close inside the window, ended July 6, 2026
Peak price
$179.80
peak on April 24, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
6

The thesis — published April 7, 2026

Predicted growth
+17%
over the measurement window
Target price
$150.99
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$125.00 – $130.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$129.05
published April 7, 2026
Confidence
75%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Arista looks attractive because demand for networking used in cloud and AI remains solid and a recent upgrade reinforced the idea that Arista can gain more business as cloud and cluster spending grows. The stock is moving close to its recent trend instead of surging, which creates a steadier short-term setup. Some patience is preferred because price momentum has not yet picked up again, but the company's position and balance sheet are strong.

Primary drivers

  • Demand for networking tied to cloud and AI cluster growth
  • Recent upgrade highlighted Arista's ability to win additional business
  • Price is close to its recent average, offering a steadier setup
  • Strong balance sheet helps navigate sector ups and downs

How it played out

ANET: target reached in 6 days

Lyra published a 17% growth thesis from a price of $129.05, with a $150.99 target. The thesis pointed to demand for cloud and artificial intelligence cluster networking, an upgrade that highlighted the chance to win more business, a price near its recent trend, and a strong balance sheet.

ANET reached the target in 6 days. It later peaked at $179.80 on April 24, a 39.3% gain, and ended the window at $173.28 on July 6. The peak and closing price were both above the target. The thesis played out and exceeded its stated objective.

What happened during the window

On May 5, Arista reported first-quarter revenue of $2.709 billion, up 35.1% year over year. On June 9, it announced the 7060XE7 Series, a portfolio of 1.6-terabit networking platforms for rack-scale artificial intelligence infrastructure.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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