Track record · closed signal

HSBC Holdings PLC ADR (HSBC) — closed signal from April 7, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 6, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

HSBC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$84.10 Published $89.15 Target $98.74 Window close $98.78 Peak
$81.00 – $84.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$84.10Published — price the day we called it
$89.15Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$98.78Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$98.74Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 1 day.

Peak price
$98.78
peak on July 6, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+17.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$98.74
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
1
Window
April 7, 2026 – July 6, 2026

The thesis — published April 7, 2026

Predicted growth
+6%
over the measurement window
Target price
$89.15
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$81.00 – $84.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$84.10
published April 7, 2026
Confidence
64%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

HSBC looks like a steady bank that can handle quiet economic patches, but recent setup is weak. Shares have moved higher recently and available news is broad rather than focused on HSBC, so there's limited reason to expect a meaningful move in the next few months. The bank's core business is solid, but upside appears modest right now.

Primary drivers

  • Global banking mix helps offset weakness in one region
  • Strong capital and steady income support stability
  • Shares are trading higher than the recent trend, lowering entry appeal
  • News is general market news, not clearly specific to the company

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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