Track record · closed signal

Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) — closed signal from April 7, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 6, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

LLY price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$904.25 Published $1,067.01 Target $1,200.06 Window close $1,238.00 Peak
$885.00 – $910.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$904.25Published — price the day we called it
$1,067.01Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$1,238.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$1,200.06Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 45 days.

Peak price
$1,238.00
peak on June 29, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+36.9%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$1,200.06
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
45
Window
April 7, 2026 – July 6, 2026

The thesis — published April 7, 2026

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$1,067.01
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$885.00 – $910.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$904.25
published April 7, 2026
Confidence
82%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Eli Lilly is getting real, concrete support from recent approvals, deals, and acquisitions that strengthen demand for its obesity, diabetes, and other drug programs. The stock pulled back below its recent trend after a reset, creating a clearer, calmer path for a steady recovery over the next few months if healthcare stocks lead again. That combination of real news and a cooler entry point makes the setup unusually durable short-term.

Primary drivers

  • Strong demand for obesity and diabetes treatments
  • Recent approvals, deals, and acquisitions add near-term drivers
  • Price has pulled back below recent trend after a reset
  • Healthcare sector strength can quickly lift the stock

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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