Track record · closed signal

The Coca-Cola Company (KO) — closed signal from April 6, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 5, 2026 — +10.5% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

KO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$76.17 Published $80.23 Target $84.14 Window close $84.14 Peak
$74.53 – $76.21Entry zone — fair-value band
$76.17Published — price the day we called it
$80.23Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$84.14Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$84.14Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 39 days.

At window close
+10.5%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+10.5%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+13.3%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$84.14
last close inside the window, ended July 5, 2026
Peak price
$84.14
peak on July 2, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
39

The thesis — published April 6, 2026

Predicted growth
+6%
over the measurement window
Target price
$80.23
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$74.53 – $76.21
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$76.17
published April 6, 2026
Confidence
63%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Coca-Cola is a steady, reliable company that offers income through dividends. The recent dividend increase makes the stock more attractive for steady pay, and the share price has held up better than many cyclical peers in recent volatility. Near-term growth and upside are modest, so it looks more like defensive exposure than a high-return opportunity over the next few months.

Primary drivers

  • Dividend increases make income more dependable
  • Everyday beverage demand is less sensitive to cycles
  • Stock price has been relatively steady in volatile markets
  • Limited near-term upside compared with higher-growth names

How it played out

KO: target reached in 39 days

Lyra published KO at $76.17 with expected growth of 6% and a target of $80.23. The thesis pointed to dependable dividend income, steady everyday beverage demand, relative price stability in volatile markets, and limited near-term upside compared with higher-growth stocks.

KO reached the target in 39 days. It later rose to a peak of $84.14 on July 2, a gain of 10.5%. The stock ended the window at the same $84.14 price on July 5. The published thesis played out, and the result exceeded the expected growth.

What happened during the window

On April 28, 2026, Coca-Cola reported first-quarter net revenue growth of 12% and earnings per share growth of 18%. On June 1, 2026, the company said it was exploring a public listing in India for the parent of its largest bottler there.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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